Sports analytics experts predict that with the back-to-back gold medals achieved by judo's Abe siblings and gymnast Daiki Hashimoto, Japan is likely to secure a fourth-place position on the medal table at the Paris Olympics this summer.

Six months before the 2024 Olympics, predictions suggest Japan is expected to win 56 medals, a bit less than their record-breaking performance in the 2021 Tokyo Games. The forecast indicates a drop in gold medals from 27 to 17.

United States will lead the medal table at the 2024 Olympics with 129 medals, up from 113 in Tokyo. China is expected to secure 85 medals, and Great Britain is forecasted to achieve 64. Host nation France is projected to finish fifth with 53 medals, based on post-Tokyo Olympics competition data.

Japan is expected to maintain success in judo and wrestling, especially in women's events, with Gracenote forecasting that these two sports will contribute to a total of 20 medals for the country.

Expected to claim gold once again, Uta Abe and her older brother Hifumi are predicted to defend their Olympic titles in the women's 52-kilogram and men's 66-kilogram judo categories.

Hashimoto is poised to secure a remarkable trio of gold medals, defending his titles in individual all-around and horizontal bar events, and contributing to the Japanese men's all-around team as they aim to surpass their silver medal performance from the previous Olympics..

Japan may achieve an uncommon gold medal in athletics as world champion Haruka Kitaguchi emerges as the frontrunner for victory in the women's javelin event.

The traditional Olympic powerhouse Russia is conspicuously absent from the company's calculations.

In response to the war in Ukraine, Russian and Belarusian athletes face restrictions and will not compete under their respective flags. Gracenote acknowledges the challenge of accurately predicting their potential performance due to their exclusion from international competitions amid the ongoing conflict.

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